I recently
read a report by the Yorkshire Building Society that 54% of the country has
seen wages (salaries) rise faster than property prices in the last 10 years.
The report said that in the Midlands and North, salaries had outperformed property prices since 2007, whilst in other
parts of the UK, especially in the
South, the opposite has happened and property prices have outperformed salaries
quite noticeably.
As regular readers of my blog know, I
always like to find out what has actually happened locally in Maidstone. To
talk of North and South is not specific enough for me. Therefore, to start, I
looked at what has happened to salaries locally since 2007. Looking at the
Office of National Statistics (ONS) data for Maidstone Borough Council, some
interesting figures came out...
|
Maidstone
|
South East
|
Nationally
|
2007
|
£27,019
|
£26,120
|
£23,920
|
2008
|
£26,452
|
£27,290
|
£24,960
|
2009
|
£27,123
|
£27,903
|
£25,506
|
2010
|
£29,037
|
£28,486
|
£26,088
|
2011
|
£27,992
|
£28,839
|
£26,010
|
2012
|
£28,231
|
£28,902
|
£26,432
|
2013
|
£26,047
|
£28,995
|
£26,931
|
2014
|
£26,962
|
£29,494
|
£27,097
|
2015
|
£29,026
|
£29,895
|
£27,508
|
2016
|
£28,179
|
£30,264
|
£28,132
|
Salaries in Maidstone have risen by 4.29%
since 2007 (although it’s been a bit of a rollercoaster ride to get there!) - interesting
when you compare that with what has happened to salaries regionally (an
increase of 15.87%) and nationally, an increase of 17.61%.
Next, I needed to find what had
happened to property prices locally over the same time frame of 2007 and today.
Net
property values in Maidstone are 29.41% higher than they were in late 2007 (not
forgetting they did dip in 2008 and 2009). Therefore...
Property values in
the Maidstone area have increased at a higher rate than wages to the tune of 25.12%
... meaning, Maidstone is in line with
the regional trend..
All this is important, as the
relationship between salaries and property values is the basis on how
affordable property is to first (and second, third etc.) time buyers. It is also vitally relevant for Maidstone
landlords as they need to be aware of this when making their buy-to-let plans
for the future. If more Maidstone people are buying, then demand for Maidstone rental
properties will drop (and vice versa).
As I have discussed in a few articles
in my blog recently, this issue of ‘property-affordability’ is a great
bellwether to the future direction of the Maidstone property market. Now of
course, it isn’t as simple as comparing salaries and property prices, as that
measurement disregards issues such as low mortgage rates and the diminishing
proportion of disposable income that is spent on mortgage repayments.
On the face of it, the change between 2007 and 2017 in terms of the
‘property-affordability’ hasn’t been that
great. However, look back another 10 years to 1997, and that tells a completely
different story. Nationally, the affordability of property more than halved
between 1997 and today. In 1997, house prices were on average 3.5 times
workers’ annual wages, whereas in 2016 workers could typically expect to spend
around 7.7 times annual wages on purchasing a home.
The issue of a lack of
homeownership has its roots in the 1980’s and 1990’s. It’s quite hard as a
tenant to pay your rent and save money for a deposit simultaneously, meaning
for many Maidstone people, home ownership isn't a realistic goal. Earlier in
the year, the Tories released proposals to combat the country’s 'broken'
housing market, setting out plans to make renting more affordable, while increasing
the security of rental deals and threatening to bring tougher legal action to
cases involving bad landlords.
This is all great news for Maidstone tenants and
decent law-abiding Maidstone landlords (and indirectly owner occupier
homeowners). Whatever has happened to salaries or property prices in Maidstone
in the last 10 (or 20) years ... the demand for decent high-quality rental
property keeps growing. If you want a chat about where the Maidstone property
market is going
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